Diametrically opposed to the east, Hurricane Lorena is traversing the Gulf in close proximity to Mexico’s Baja Peninsula, and intensifying rain will impact the Desert Southwest again this week. The Hurricane Lorena rain forecast Southwest could be impacted by flooding from torrential rains from Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas, as its remnants spread further inland.
Even though Hurricane Lorena will not make landfall in the United States, its residual moisture will create potential risks this coming weekend.
Where is Hurricane Lorena as of now?
Lorena is currently just under 2oo miles from Mexico’s Baja Peninsula. The 12th named storm, Lorena, for the Eastern Pacific season on Tuesday. By early Wednesday, it was classified as a hurricane. Outer rainbands are now drenching parts of Southern Baja with 2-8 inches of rain.
Tropical storm watches and warnings remain in effect for the southern Pacific side of the peninsula. Over the next few days, coastal flooding, along with very turbulent surf as a possible result of high winds, is likely.
Uncertainty in Hurricane Lorena Rain Forecast Southwest
Hurricane Lorena is expected to weaken by Thursday. However, there is a level of unpredictability in the track of Lorena. If it weakens quickly, it will dissipate before landfall. On the other hand, if it weakens slowly, it could potentially be a tropical storm over Baja travails.
Then a depression over northwest Mexico, often followed by fading out altogether. Regardless of the path, heavy rains and flooding will continue to be concerns. This is why the Hurricane Lorena rain forecast Southwest has the attention of forecasters and residents worried about impacts.
Potential for US Impacts
The moisture associated with Lorena will begin moving north into the US as early as Friday. Soaking rain into the Southern portions of Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas is potential outcome. Flood watches have already been issued for southern Arizona, and more watches and alerts could be necessary as the storm approaches
A weather system moving through the U.S. and parts of Canada brought wet weather to areas above 1000 feet and likely created quite a mess at the coast. Weather professionals say there is a forecast for precipitation that will exceed an inch in elevation above this weekend. Flash flooding will be a big concern in southeastern California and southern Nevada.
Why does the Southwest need rain
Even with flooding risk, parts of the Desert Southwest are still in severe drought. Currently, all of Arizona is in drought and almost 70% of New Mexico is in drought. This season, monsoon rains have been below average.
Lorena’s moisture is both a blessing and a threat. The Hurricane Lorena rain forecast Southwest indicates possible flooding, but expected rainfall for dry landscapes.
Looking Ahead
The shift in the path and intensity of Lorena may also change in the coming days. It holds together, it will carry more moisture to the Southwest. If it falls apart too fast, rainfall amounts may come in lower than expected. Residents in those areas should stay aware of the changing forecast and new warnings.
Conclusion
The Hurricane Lorena rain forecast Southwest is a complex relationship of danger and relief. Heavy rain will ease drought and induce flash floods in Arizona, New Mexico and Texas. As it weakens and drifts north, the Desert Southwest should prepare for both. It is important to stay aware and cautious through the weekend.
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